Friday, January 20, 2017

An important non-issue

http://canadianatheist.com/2017/01/20/demystifying-the-gallagher-index/

But all this does not examine the uniformity of the system, but of the results. There are some issues that are not mathematically resolvable.

1. The system must have a consistent numbers of eligible voters, more or less. This cannot occur if it is first divided by provinces and territories, and then rounded to the nearest or upper whole riding's.

2. Riding's have changing populations.

3. The turnout will not be consistent between riding's.

4. Some riding's will have no or disliked candidates, negative or strategic voting, as there are no obvious choices.

5. No system can correct for strong regional feeling for one party. This produces a strong voting preference, which can substantial effect the number of voters and proportional results. 

Conclusion: no system can produce equal number of representative percent and popular vote percentage. Equal potential representative is as close to fair as we can come.    

Friday, January 13, 2017

35 percent Trump

So Trump has suggested that unless someone produce a widget for a cost saving of more than 35 percent outside the US, it must be produced in the US for consumption in the US. Well for the next four years. So that will drive up the consumer cost by less than 35 percent. but it will be felt.

Trump is familiar with business among the rich, those that come to him. This is not the same as for the middle class, where cost is always an issue. Philosophy is fine until the costs are considered, then philosophy becomes a secondary consideration among the rational. Oh well, in the end we all just die anyway.  

So if you are a capitalist, and you have two choices, one plant in the US to serve 400 million people, or one plant in the world to serve 7,000 million, which are you going to choose and those other 400 million can have the product at 1.35 times the cost, which are you going to choose? The other choice is two plants, one to serve 70 and the other 4 hundred million, which are you going to choose? Well 350 billion have no money, so the US is 10% of the world market for some widgets, and 5% for other widgets. The US loses.

Now what about copyright and patent laws, existing agreements, and civil traditions? But this could be for eight or four years, or less. So what is the more economical to the business? 35% may be worth smuggling, at least by US citizens into the US. He will need a wall for sure, but it will have holes. At best it may be four years before it would be complete, and then what? Or will it just develop more holes? The US loses.

To China, in total trade, the US is 10%. So wtf. How upsetting will Trump be to the US? Packaged in Canada may be the common label for a few years. The US loses.

Friday, January 6, 2017

Unplanned Social Engineering

http://theseagypsyphilosopher.blogspot.ca/2017/01/social-engineering-for-fun-and-profit.html got me thinking about unplanned social engineering.

Nobody planned anything. It is all reactionary. Just like Politics. Just reactionary to the situation that develops.

Anything that is done perhaps has a few years at best before it is out of date and should be revised to correct for the unforeseen consequences. The unknown unknowns. There are some known unknowns, but it is the unknown unknowns that will kill us.

Consider the Canadian medical system. When it started, it was aimed at the high cost life saving processes, but since any medical is high cost for the poor, unemployed, working poor, that make up close to 50% of our population, most medical is covered. But not psychologist, and a bunch of other, as seen by the powerful, optional medical care professionals. The government missed a big chance there, the ability to reprogram the population just as they would like. Oh well. Everybody piled on, and no one is just allowed to die without heroic effort to save their lives; even when there is no realistic hope of life or them ever becoming a useful part of society again. This generates large costs and no benefit, other than turning dollars in the medical industry. Oh well, a fix will be required and nobody will like it. Bankrupt government will be the catalyst to that change.

Now our society is based on the most popular of competing technologies combined with ideologies. Some homes now are doing away with TV, others becoming minimalist, others home gardens, home preserving of vegetables, or living like the homesteaders. Back to the land movement is well and thriving, but not loudly as it once was. Radio and news papers have a difficult economic future, but oh well. TV as well, but it has a old population of addicts to die off first, or find new hobbies.

Now the US is about to embark on a re-establishing of home grow industry. Canada, Alberta mostly, is trying to reduce carbon emission from fossil fuel; and at the same time wrongly allow decrease carbon capture in the agriculture sector through carbon sequester depleting to make factory farms more economically productive and employ less people. All the while driving up the cost to the residents, which the government says is good for the economy. Forced spending of any cash reserves we may have. All this makes Alberta far less economically competitive for both industry and as a place to retire and live out the remainder of life.

The long term solution is education; or so we are told. Yet so many of us have spent so much time in getting more education, only to spend years oscillating between underemployment, unemployment, part time, and self employment where our highest technical level was occasionally required. Education is a sold commodity, and there may be no space, no need, no sale for the product. Nerds are not well suited for working construction, but with a excess of engineers, what are the choices. Oh well, that is all over now. You can go through a program and find that you are just not competitive because our ethics keep us above the building code, not a few percent below the code. Or short term designs that will get us beyond the warranted period. Oh well. Industries and professions change at tremendous speeds, and education is always behind the curve. Consider the speed that desktop computers came in to some industries, once they became economic and software was available, some at highway robbery prices, others at give-a-way prices. Oh well, it is all over now for me.

The real problem is over population, over supply of services, rather that an unsatisfied demand continual shortage of people and services. One can function long term, and the other has unemployment. Oh well. Which is easier to live with? If you are among the rich, say top 50%, over population is not a issue, but if you are in the bottom 50% competition will kill you. Of course, the political management is always in the top 50, likely mostly in the top 1% in Canada. Keep in mind, currently, the top 1% of income is just over $100,000/year family income. (2015 data).  So why are we letting the top 1% rule us?       

 

Saturday, December 31, 2016

Which sexual tribe are you in?

https://skepticon.org/help-skepticon-fight-the-good-fight/
http://freethoughtblogs.com/kriswager/2016/12/31/skepticon-needs-your-help/

It seems that there were three, now a fourth sexual tribe has developed, the poly's. These sexual groups behave like tribes; they are hostile to all other groups. Gays, trans, mono or normal's, and now the poly's.

The human animals do not throw true to our sex, some have physical issues, other have psychological based sexual issues. Others are just never satisfied. Mono relationships are likely the most common, and are the most likely to provide healthy mentally balanced children. Poly's cause many family separations, and I cannot see how they can not cause jealousy, or lack of caring about the offspring, lack of support of questionable offspring and similar issues.

The poly goes around hitting on every one they feel attracted to. They cause much resentments, and much distress and unwanted effort to rebut. Some of them are far too pushy, and need to be publicly shut down. Their behavior can be discussing, even repugnant to normal mono's.  

Those who are beyond reproduction age only have relationships to be concerned about. But since these appears to be tribal like, anyone jumping between tribes can expect that some will not be happy about across tribal communications. In other words, when a parent becomes poly, they may lose the respect of their children, and also the attachment of the child.

A skeptics/atheists do not want our time, devoted to the study, to be wasted or diluted or wasted with poly perverts promotion, and took steps to ban a waster who is promoting poly rather than the study of atheism. There mistake was to publicly state the ban, rather then privately.

 Whether the hitting on was real, innuendo, or imaginary, unwelcome hitting on the prime organizer of the event may have caused a overreaction, and as a result they became 'person non grata.' Together with a bunch of complains from the previous year for time wasting on non advertised subject, decisions were made to not only not invite him as speaker, but to outright pan the individual. Oh well, there are always issues in organizations. Splits will occur. It is time to move on, but not in the USA. Sue the offender, and destroy the organization and the prime organizer.          

Saturday, December 24, 2016

US Customs


the day after festivus, -15C, light snow....and not enough snow on the ground to cover plowed field.

http://freethoughtblogs.com/affinity/2016/12/24/just-give-us-your-life-history-please/ 

Does this mean that those of us who have spoken out against the Trump idiot are not going be allowed into the US now after January? Although I no longer have a current Canadian passport just because I never bothered to renew it when it expired back whenever that was, some time in the future, I may have changed my mind. Or is the US going to take a bigger dislike of atheists, and consider us potential terrorists, when in general the religious are much easier to radicalize for there lack of rational thoughts.

I do not plan to go south for the winter either, as I could not take my dog, who is more important to me than a lot of people. Oh well, that says where my proprieties are at.

http://www.patheos.com/blogs/friendlyatheist/2016/12/24/christian-columnist-is-furious-that-someone-quoted-him-as-saying-oh-god/

So could an atheist could use "Oh god" as an expletive or Oh g0d as an explanative? but how would one pronounce g0d? gzerod?

Enough foolishness.
 

Friday, December 23, 2016

Festivus

Festivus, a tradition for some since 1997. Steinfeld. A festival for the rest of us.  Festivus pole, beer cans and duct tape. No deterioration. Speak your grievances, and feats of strength. Oh well.

Most cultures celebrate the end of this year or the beginning of the next about this time of the year. A festival of lights at the dark time of year or something. Saturnalia or old Rome, to celebrate  the end of harvest and clean up the eat early portion of harvest. It was a slow agriculture work time for a bit, so why not have a celebration. Now we do it to excess perhaps.

Further north the natives burned big logs on the longest night of the year, and likely for a while to keep warm and provide a bit of light. The fierce Quadi decorated trees; with what, I have no idea, to mark their territory. Yule was born. Along come the Christians and add there concepts to the annual seasonal solstice or cultural/religious celebration, and take gifting to new extremes of excess, and we have the present situation. Oh well, in the end we all just die anyway.

The Celts celebrated eight time a year, the solstices and equinox and midpoints. Their greatest fear was the sky falling, aka meteorites, as they had experienced. They were a prolific culture, expanding from their root area to all of northern Europe and beyond. Add to their holidays a few christian holidays, and we have the current situation. Reminds of the Life of Pi, where Pi tries to follow three religions. A lot of holidays. Oh well.

In the Northern Hemisphere it is the cold part of the year, so heat, fire and lights would naturally be a big part of any celebration, as would be food and drink, much drink likely. Story telling is the original art, and that would feature in any celebration. Repeating the stories of old, a history lesson of sorts, modified by each story teller down through the ages, to improve, or as remembered or as created. The Stoics suggest we periodically go back to the behavior of that time for a few days, just to accustom ourselves to being without. Such an exercise willingly will remind us of the past and "prevent us getting to soft" as was one of their concerns. (like Epictetus frags 13) ( or Marcus Aurelius  somewhere) Oh well, a bit of soul carrying around a dead body.        
  

Monday, December 12, 2016

Fake News and Religion

The similarity of fake news and religions became obvious on reading this. Lies, bullshit and a good story have this lack of truth in common. Fake new is just fake, as is much in religion. Both masquerade as truth. Therein lies the problem, we the people do not have time to test everything, and have assume them to be true. The more correct assumption is assume it is a lie until collaboration, or evidence is produced.

http://www.patheos.com/blogs/friendlyatheist/2016/12/12/how-do-we-fight-fake-news-lets-hear-from-a-group-of-people-who-stopped-believing-the-lies/

Since coming out as an Atheist, I have realized the hatred, intolerance, bigotry, ever persecution that Christian and Islam religious display toward the non religious. I was not prepared for the back lash that stating that I am an atheist caused.  Oh well.  It is true and is done.

I also had not realized the amount of intolerance that still is present in Canada 2016 toward the atheists. This is mostly from the so called Christians. Oh well, it says something about there actual beliefs, not what they claim to believe. More false self concepts. It is utterly impossible to understand that these people, who preach tolerance, understanding and love can be so intolerant, brutal, and savage. All I can say is "forgive them, for they know not what they do."

The foundation of science is the hypothesis that is supported with evidence, and is not falseafiable by any known test. Even then, any hypothesis can be questioned, but if there is no evidence, them perhaps it is true. Perhaps not also. We can assign probability, and generate a likely solution.

In reality, most people do not want to think to hard about these subjects, for they see the potential conflict and would rather just go along not openly saying anything. It is only those of us with mental issues, a need to know, or to be correct, that causes a problem for us in not knowing. Oh well.

At this season of
THE WINTER SOLSTICE
may reason prevail.
There are no gods,
no devils, no angels,
no heaven or hell.
There is only
our natural world.
Religion is but
myth and superstition
that hardens hearts
and enslaves minds.